UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women Northern Michigan 2
  
Northern Michigan     
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 88.3116

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 9- 9, 85.4) 19- 6 305 A Quincy GLVC ( 7- 8, 85.6) 13-14 307 N Missouri Western GLVC ( 9- 8, 88.1) 18- 6 309 A Maryville GLVC (18- 1, 96.5) 4-18 315 H Lewis GLVC ( 6-10, 84.2) 20- 9 321 N Indianapolis GLVC (13- 6, 95.0) 3-18 323 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 1 328 H Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9- 6 330 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 11-12 405 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 9-13 411 N Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 4-11 413 A Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9-11 417 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 0 426 H Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 8- 7 502 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 12- 9 504 A Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 9-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Walsh                  19- 6      13     3           1.56
   305 A Quincy                 13-14      -1     2    -     -3.21
   307 N Missouri Western       18- 6      12     0    ++     4.78
   309 A Maryville               4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   315 H Lewis                  20- 9      11     5           0.38
   321 N Indianapolis            3-18     -15    -7           0.00
   323 A Saginaw Valley State   20- 1      19    16           0.00
   328 H Davenport               9- 6       3     2           1.41
   330 H Grand Valley State     11-12      -1    -3    +      2.00
   405 A Concordia-St Paul       9-13      -4     0    --    -4.32
   411 N Grand Valley State      4-11      -7    -4          -1.44
   413 A Davenport               9-11      -2     0    -     -2.49
   417 H Saginaw Valley State   20- 0      20    17           0.00
   426 H Concordia-St Paul       8- 7       1     1          -0.43
   502 A Concordia-St Paul      12- 9       3     0    +      2.68
   504 A Grand Valley State      9-15      -6    -4          -0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Concordia-St Paul       9-13      -4     0    --    -4.32
   305 A Quincy                 13-14      -1     2    -     -3.21
   413 A Davenport               9-11      -2     0    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 N Missouri Western       18- 6      12     0    ++     4.78
   330 H Grand Valley State     11-12      -1    -3    +      2.00
   502 A Concordia-St Paul      12- 9       3     0    +      2.68

Northern Michigan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Northern Michigan tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) Northern Michigan
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Caldwell Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Catawba Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Charleston Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Chestnut Hill Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Chowan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Coker Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Converse Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
CSU-Pueblo Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   2- 1 vs 0- 2
D'Youville Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Daemen Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Davenport Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Northern Michigan
Davis & Elkins Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northern Michigan
District of Columbia Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Emory & Henry Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Felician Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Findlay Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Flagler Flagler insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Northern Michigan
Franklin Pierce Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Georgian Court Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State  
Holy Family Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis  
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Northern Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Lees-McRae Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lock Haven Lock Haven   Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lynn
Malone Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Mars Hill Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Maryville Maryville Maryville  
McKendree Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   4- 4 vs 1- 6
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Molloy Molloy   Molloy
Montevallo Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Quincy Quincy Quincy  
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 2) Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
St Thomas Aquinas Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Tampa Tampa Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Tiffin Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Northern Michigan
Tusculum Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Ursuline Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
UVA Wise Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Virginia State Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Walsh Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Westminster (UT) Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Wheeling Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
William Jewell Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 4 vs 1- 5
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan

PowerWise = 58


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Walsh           ( 9- 9, 85.4)    19- 6      -14.47      16.71      -0.55         1.01            16.32
   0 A Quincy          ( 7- 8, 85.6)    13-14      -14.35      16.83       0.55         1.01           -13.93
   0 N Missouri Weste  ( 9- 8, 88.1)    18- 6      -11.81      19.37      -0.00         1.01            19.57
   0 A Maryville       (18- 1, 96.5)     4-18       -3.45      27.73       0.55         1.01            -2.92
   0 H Lewis           ( 6-10, 84.2)    20- 9      -15.66      15.52      -0.55         1.01            15.12
   0 N Indianapolis    (13- 6, 95.0)     3-18       -4.95      26.23      -0.00         1.01            -5.00
   0 A Saginaw Valley  ( 0-13, 72.2)    20- 1      -27.67       3.51       0.55         1.01             4.11
   0 H Davenport       ( 9- 8, 87.3)     9- 6      -12.63      18.55      -0.55         1.01            18.18
   0 H Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)    11-12       -8.03      23.15      -0.55         1.01            -8.67
   0 A Concordia-St P  ( 9- 8, 87.4)     9-13      -12.47      18.72       0.55         1.01           -12.03
   0 N Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)     4-11       -8.03      23.15      -0.00         1.01            -8.11
   0 A Davenport       ( 9- 8, 87.3)     9-11      -12.63      18.55       0.55         1.01           -12.20
   0 H Saginaw Valley  ( 0-13, 72.2)    20- 0      -27.67       3.51      -0.55         1.01             2.99
   0 H Concordia-St P  ( 9- 8, 87.4)     8- 7      -12.47      18.72      -0.55         1.01            18.34
   0 A Concordia-St P  ( 9- 8, 87.4)    12- 9      -12.47      18.72       0.55         1.01            19.46
   0 A Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)     9-15       -8.03      23.15       0.55         1.01            -7.56
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        43.66

winning pts = 114.0849 losing points = -70.4274

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------