Northern Michigan 
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 88.3116
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 9- 9, 85.4) 19- 6
305 A Quincy GLVC ( 7- 8, 85.6) 13-14
307 N Missouri Western GLVC ( 9- 8, 88.1) 18- 6
309 A Maryville GLVC (18- 1, 96.5) 4-18
315 H Lewis GLVC ( 6-10, 84.2) 20- 9
321 N Indianapolis GLVC (13- 6, 95.0) 3-18
323 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 1
328 H Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9- 6
330 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 11-12
405 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 9-13
411 N Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 4-11
413 A Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9-11
417 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 0
426 H Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 8- 7
502 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.4) 12- 9
504 A Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 9-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Walsh 19- 6 13 3 1.56
305 A Quincy 13-14 -1 2 - -3.21
307 N Missouri Western 18- 6 12 0 ++ 4.78
309 A Maryville 4-18 -14 -9 0.00
315 H Lewis 20- 9 11 5 0.38
321 N Indianapolis 3-18 -15 -7 0.00
323 A Saginaw Valley State 20- 1 19 16 0.00
328 H Davenport 9- 6 3 2 1.41
330 H Grand Valley State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.00
405 A Concordia-St Paul 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.32
411 N Grand Valley State 4-11 -7 -4 -1.44
413 A Davenport 9-11 -2 0 - -2.49
417 H Saginaw Valley State 20- 0 20 17 0.00
426 H Concordia-St Paul 8- 7 1 1 -0.43
502 A Concordia-St Paul 12- 9 3 0 + 2.68
504 A Grand Valley State 9-15 -6 -4 -0.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Concordia-St Paul 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.32
305 A Quincy 13-14 -1 2 - -3.21
413 A Davenport 9-11 -2 0 - -2.49
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 N Missouri Western 18- 6 12 0 ++ 4.78
330 H Grand Valley State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.00
502 A Concordia-St Paul 12- 9 3 0 + 2.68
|
Northern Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Ashland |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) |
Northern Michigan |
Assumption |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Barton |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
 
| Belmont Abbey |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
 
| Bentley |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
|
 
| Bloomsburg |
Bridgeport |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Caldwell |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Catawba |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Charleston |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Chestnut Hill |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Chowan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Coker |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Concordia-St Paul |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
Converse |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
CSU-Pueblo |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
D'Youville |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Daemen |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Davenport |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) |
Northern Michigan |
Davis & Elkins |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Northern Michigan |
District of Columbia |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Dominican (CA) |
Dominican (CA) |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Dominican (CA) |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
 
| Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
 
| East Stroudsburg |
Edinboro |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Emory & Henry |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Felician |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Findlay |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Florida Southern |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
Fort Lewis |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Northern Michigan |
Franklin Pierce |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Gannon |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Georgian Court |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Indiana (PA) |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
 
| |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Lake Erie |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Lander |
Lander |
|
 
| Lander |
Lee |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Lees-McRae |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
|
 
| Lock Haven |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lynn |
Malone |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Mars Hill |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Maryville |
Maryville |
Maryville |
 
| |
McKendree |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   4- 4 vs 1- 6 |
|
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
Millersville |
Millersville |
|
 
| Millersville |
Missouri Western |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
Molloy |
Molloy |
|
 
| Molloy |
Montevallo |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
 
| Mount Olive |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
 
| New Haven |
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Northwood |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   4- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Pace |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Post |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Quincy |
Quincy |
Quincy |
 
| |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Regis (CO) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
|
 
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 2) |
Rockhurst |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
 
| Seton Hill |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
 
| Shippensburg |
Shorter |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
 
| Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
 
| Southern Connecticut |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
 
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern Wesleyan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
 
| St Leo |
St Michaels |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
 
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas More |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Tiffin |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Tusculum |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Ursuline |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
UVA Wise |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Virginia State |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Walsh |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
 
| West Chester |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
Westminster (UT) |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
Wheeling |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
William Jewell |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 4 vs 1- 5 |
|
Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
 
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
Young Harris |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
PowerWise = 58

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Walsh ( 9- 9, 85.4) 19- 6 -14.47 16.71 -0.55 1.01 16.32
0 A Quincy ( 7- 8, 85.6) 13-14 -14.35 16.83 0.55 1.01 -13.93
0 N Missouri Weste ( 9- 8, 88.1) 18- 6 -11.81 19.37 -0.00 1.01 19.57
0 A Maryville (18- 1, 96.5) 4-18 -3.45 27.73 0.55 1.01 -2.92
0 H Lewis ( 6-10, 84.2) 20- 9 -15.66 15.52 -0.55 1.01 15.12
0 N Indianapolis (13- 6, 95.0) 3-18 -4.95 26.23 -0.00 1.01 -5.00
0 A Saginaw Valley ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 1 -27.67 3.51 0.55 1.01 4.11
0 H Davenport ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9- 6 -12.63 18.55 -0.55 1.01 18.18
0 H Grand Valley S (15- 3, 91.9) 11-12 -8.03 23.15 -0.55 1.01 -8.67
0 A Concordia-St P ( 9- 8, 87.4) 9-13 -12.47 18.72 0.55 1.01 -12.03
0 N Grand Valley S (15- 3, 91.9) 4-11 -8.03 23.15 -0.00 1.01 -8.11
0 A Davenport ( 9- 8, 87.3) 9-11 -12.63 18.55 0.55 1.01 -12.20
0 H Saginaw Valley ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 0 -27.67 3.51 -0.55 1.01 2.99
0 H Concordia-St P ( 9- 8, 87.4) 8- 7 -12.47 18.72 -0.55 1.01 18.34
0 A Concordia-St P ( 9- 8, 87.4) 12- 9 -12.47 18.72 0.55 1.01 19.46
0 A Grand Valley S (15- 3, 91.9) 9-15 -8.03 23.15 0.55 1.01 -7.56
------
43.66
|
winning pts = 114.0849 losing points = -70.4274
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------