UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Northern Michigan 2
  
Northern Michigan     
W-L: ( 8- 3) PR = 88.4232

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2- 8, 75.0) 20- 4 219 H McKendree GLVC ( 8- 3, 87.2) 15- 5 226 H Lewis GLVC ( 6- 4, 84.6) 14- 8 302 A Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountai ( 4- 9, 87.5) 9- 7 304 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 7- 5, 88.0) 10-11 305 A Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (10- 4, 90.7) 6-14 313 A Ashland Great Midwest ( 9- 4, 89.4) 13-12 320 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 23- 1 327 A Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0) 4- 9 329 A Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 14- 6 404 H Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 4- 8, 82.9) 16- 7 410 H Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 412 H Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0) 419 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 421 A Indianapolis GLVC ( 8- 1, 95.1) 425 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 4- 8, 82.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Northwood              20- 4      16    14           0.00
   219 H McKendree              15- 5      10     2    +      3.40
   226 H Lewis                  14- 8       6     4           0.74
   302 A Colorado Mesa           9- 7       2     1           1.46
   304 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 10-11      -1     0          -1.03
   305 A Regis (CO)              6-14      -8    -3    -     -2.31
   313 A Ashland                13-12       1    -1    +      2.40
   320 H Saginaw Valley State   23- 1      22    12           0.00
   327 A Grand Valley State      4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.01
   329 A Davenport              14- 6       8     5           0.42
   404 H Concordia-St Paul      16- 7       9     6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Grand Valley State      4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.01
   305 A Regis (CO)              6-14      -8    -3    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H McKendree              15- 5      10     2    +      3.40
   313 A Ashland                13-12       1    -1    +      2.40

Northern Michigan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Assumption Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Barton Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Belmont Abbey Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Bentley Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Bloomsburg Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Bridgeport Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Caldwell Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Catawba Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Charleston Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Chestnut Hill Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Chowan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Coker Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Colorado Mesa Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring  
Concordia-St Paul Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Converse Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
CSU-Pueblo Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
D'Youville Northern Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Michigan
Daemen Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Davenport Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Davis & Elkins Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
District of Columbia Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Dominican (CA) Northern Michigan tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northern Michigan
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Emory & Henry Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Felician Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Findlay Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Franklin Pierce Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Frostburg State Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Gannon Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Georgian Court Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State  
Holy Family Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Indiana (PA) Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lander Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lee Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Lees-McRae Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lenoir-Rhyne Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lewis Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Limestone Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lincoln Memorial Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lock Haven Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Lynn Lynn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lynn
Malone Northern Michigan tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northern Michigan
Mars Hill Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Maryville Maryville Maryville   6- 0 vs 3- 3
McKendree Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Missouri Western Northern Michigan tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Northern Michigan
Molloy Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Montevallo Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Mount Olive Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
New Haven Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Newberry Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
North Greenville Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Post Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Quincy Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Northern Michigan
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) Regis (CO)  
Roberts Wesleyan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Rockhurst Rockhurst tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Seton Hill Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Michigan
Shepherd Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Shippensburg Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Shorter Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Southern Wesleyan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Leo
St Michaels Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
St Thomas Aquinas Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Tiffin Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tusculum Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Michigan
Ursuline Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UVA Wise Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Virginia State Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Walsh Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Northern Michigan
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wheeling Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
William Jewell Northern Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northern Michigan
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan

PowerWise = 81


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northwood       ( 2- 8, 75.0)    20- 4      -24.94       8.25      -0.41         1.00             7.87
   0 H McKendree       ( 8- 3, 87.2)    15- 5      -12.67      20.52      -0.41         1.00            20.18
   0 H Lewis           ( 6- 4, 84.6)    14- 8      -15.33      17.86      -0.41         1.00            17.51
   0 A Colorado Mesa   ( 4- 9, 87.5)     9- 7      -12.42      20.77       0.41         1.00            21.24
   0 A Colorado-Color  ( 7- 5, 88.0)    10-11      -11.91      21.28       0.41         1.00           -11.54
   0 A Regis (CO)      (10- 4, 90.7)     6-14       -9.19      24.00       0.41         1.00            -8.82
   0 A Ashland         ( 9- 4, 89.4)    13-12      -10.48      22.71       0.41         1.00            23.19
   0 H Saginaw Valley  ( 1-10, 77.1)    23- 1      -22.84      10.35      -0.41         1.00             9.98
   0 A Grand Valley S  ( 5- 7, 88.0)     4- 9      -11.89      21.30       0.41         1.00           -11.52
   0 A Davenport       ( 8- 5, 83.4)    14- 6      -16.46      16.73       0.41         1.00            17.19
   0 H Concordia-St P  ( 4- 8, 82.9)    16- 7      -17.00      16.20      -0.41         1.00            15.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       101.11

winning pts = 132.9943 losing points = -31.8844

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------