Northern Michigan 
W-L: ( 8- 3) PR = 88.4232
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
215 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2- 8, 75.0) 20- 4
219 H McKendree GLVC ( 8- 3, 87.2) 15- 5
226 H Lewis GLVC ( 6- 4, 84.6) 14- 8
302 A Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountai ( 4- 9, 87.5) 9- 7
304 A Colorado-Colorado Spri Rocky Mountai ( 7- 5, 88.0) 10-11
305 A Regis (CO) Rocky Mountai (10- 4, 90.7) 6-14
313 A Ashland Great Midwest ( 9- 4, 89.4) 13-12
320 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 23- 1
327 A Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0) 4- 9
329 A Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 14- 6
404 H Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 4- 8, 82.9) 16- 7
410 H Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4)
412 H Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0)
419 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1)
421 A Indianapolis GLVC ( 8- 1, 95.1)
425 A Concordia-St Paul GLIAC ( 4- 8, 82.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 H Northwood 20- 4 16 14 0.00
219 H McKendree 15- 5 10 2 + 3.40
226 H Lewis 14- 8 6 4 0.74
302 A Colorado Mesa 9- 7 2 1 1.46
304 A Colorado-Colorado Spri 10-11 -1 0 -1.03
305 A Regis (CO) 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.31
313 A Ashland 13-12 1 -1 + 2.40
320 H Saginaw Valley State 23- 1 22 12 0.00
327 A Grand Valley State 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.01
329 A Davenport 14- 6 8 5 0.42
404 H Concordia-St Paul 16- 7 9 6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 A Grand Valley State 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.01
305 A Regis (CO) 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.31
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 H McKendree 15- 5 10 2 + 3.40
313 A Ashland 13-12 1 -1 + 2.40
|
Northern Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
 
| Alabama-Huntsville |
| American International |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
| Ashland |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Assumption |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Barton |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Belmont Abbey |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Bentley |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Bloomsburg |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Bridgeport |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Caldwell |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Catawba |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Charleston |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| Chestnut Hill |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Chowan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Coker |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Colorado Mesa |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
 
| |
| Concordia-St Paul |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Converse |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| CSU-Pueblo |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| D'Youville |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northern Michigan |
| Daemen |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Davenport |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Davis & Elkins |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| District of Columbia |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Dominican (CA) |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Northern Michigan |
| Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
 
| Dominican (NY) |
| East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
 
| East Stroudsburg |
| Edinboro |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Emory & Henry |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Felician |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Findlay |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Florida Southern |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Florida Tech |
| Fort Lewis |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Franklin Pierce |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Frostburg State |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Gannon |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| Georgian Court |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
 
| |
| Holy Family |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Indiana (PA) |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
Indianapolis   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
| Lake Erie |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Lander |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lee |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| Lees-McRae |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lewis |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Limestone |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lock Haven |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Lynn |
Lynn |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynn |
| Malone |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Northern Michigan |
| Mars Hill |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
Maryville   6- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
| McKendree |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
| Millersville |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Missouri Western |
Northern Michigan |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Northern Michigan |
| Molloy |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Montevallo |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Mount Olive |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| New Haven |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Newberry |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| North Greenville |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Northwood |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Pace |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Post |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Quincy |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
 
| |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Rockhurst |
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Rollins |
| Saginaw Valley State |
Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
 
| |
| Seton Hill |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northern Michigan |
| Shepherd |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Shippensburg |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Shorter |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Slippery Rock |
| Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
 
| Southern Connecticut |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Southern Wesleyan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Leo |
| St Michaels |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
 
| Tampa |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
 
| Thomas Jefferson |
| Thomas More |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Tiffin |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Tusculum |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| Ursuline |
Northern Michigan |
|
Northern Michigan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| UVA Wise |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Virginia State |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Walsh |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Northern Michigan |
| West Chester |
West Chester |
|
 
| West Chester |
| West Virginia Wesleyan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Westminster (UT) |
Westminster (UT) |
|
Westminster (UT)   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Wheeling |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| William Jewell |
Northern Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Northern Michigan |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
 
| Wilmington (DE) |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
PowerWise = 81

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Northwood ( 2- 8, 75.0) 20- 4 -24.94 8.25 -0.41 1.00 7.87
0 H McKendree ( 8- 3, 87.2) 15- 5 -12.67 20.52 -0.41 1.00 20.18
0 H Lewis ( 6- 4, 84.6) 14- 8 -15.33 17.86 -0.41 1.00 17.51
0 A Colorado Mesa ( 4- 9, 87.5) 9- 7 -12.42 20.77 0.41 1.00 21.24
0 A Colorado-Color ( 7- 5, 88.0) 10-11 -11.91 21.28 0.41 1.00 -11.54
0 A Regis (CO) (10- 4, 90.7) 6-14 -9.19 24.00 0.41 1.00 -8.82
0 A Ashland ( 9- 4, 89.4) 13-12 -10.48 22.71 0.41 1.00 23.19
0 H Saginaw Valley ( 1-10, 77.1) 23- 1 -22.84 10.35 -0.41 1.00 9.98
0 A Grand Valley S ( 5- 7, 88.0) 4- 9 -11.89 21.30 0.41 1.00 -11.52
0 A Davenport ( 8- 5, 83.4) 14- 6 -16.46 16.73 0.41 1.00 17.19
0 H Concordia-St P ( 4- 8, 82.9) 16- 7 -17.00 16.20 -0.41 1.00 15.84
------
101.11
|
winning pts = 132.9943 losing points = -31.8844
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------